Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 8.624660 10.016575 11.512959 13.235627 15.158208 17.232056 19.632244
2025-04-27 7.028836 8.866481 10.968696 13.532031 16.552719 19.978388 24.135178
2025-05-04 5.806967 7.869921 10.358507 13.541491 17.461294 22.086206 27.907500
2025-05-11 4.646293 6.744611 9.405802 12.962702 17.520255 23.088991 30.324482
2025-05-18 3.898542 6.024076 8.843609 12.760570 17.953789 24.489658 33.209432
2025-05-25 3.270529 5.369393 8.275819 12.462496 18.190747 25.596061 35.712741
2025-06-01 2.802821 4.873376 7.858170 12.303136 18.560039 26.844392 38.400492
2025-06-08 2.371109 4.369576 7.368621 11.983178 18.659860 27.704136 40.571440
2025-06-15 2.111065 4.096806 7.183868 12.069894 19.306904 29.300487 43.754077
2025-06-22 1.850072 3.786394 6.906651 11.986777 19.687454 30.523056 46.446190
2025-06-29 1.672186 3.592985 6.790401 12.128985 20.388097 32.201535 49.802657
2025-07-06 1.518310 3.421216 6.689862 12.280083 21.096339 33.901372 53.225600
2025-07-13 1.414952 3.331771 6.720372 12.643063 22.145791 36.136938 57.490882
2025-07-20 1.302790 3.210393 6.683368 12.888298 23.016802 38.132145 61.460429
2025-07-27 1.164929 3.018668 6.503885 12.880050 23.481391 39.530644 64.592873
2025-08-03 0.969345 2.677177 6.019945 12.316881 23.023981 39.516245 65.635599
2025-08-10 0.844897 2.468787 5.760815 12.119814 23.140276 40.364071 67.964793
2025-08-17 0.726127 2.253072 5.464921 11.832509 23.085235 40.934027 69.878026
2025-08-24 0.635675 2.088657 5.252856 11.679085 23.240471 41.827261 72.293479
2025-08-31 0.542464 1.899801 4.970552 11.371962 23.111564 42.256651 73.996021
2025-09-07 0.492655 1.815109 4.897726 11.455032 23.658475 43.777668 77.419493
2025-09-14 0.435686 1.700006 4.747189 11.375275 23.910207 44.821625 80.114205
2025-09-21 0.399761 1.638210 4.708334 11.511648 24.550008 46.513540 83.864249